DMSTA Simulation Results Case: HellnBlazes Period: 01/01/80 to 09/30/99
Case: lake/reservoir; depths estimated; sparse inflow conc prior to 3/1996; high water load & short HRT (1 day); 5-yr initialization;p simulation insensitive to calibration
Input Series hellnblazes Tanks in Series 2.0 Surface Area (km2) 1.5400
Simulation Period 12/01/74 thru 09/30/99 Mean Water Load  (cm/d) 103.2 Mean Depth (cm) 112
Output Period 01/01/80 thru 09/30/99 Max Water Load (cm/d) 818.2 Max Depth (cm) 410
Startup Interval (days) 7761 Iterations 1 Inflow Conc  (ppb) 148.1 Freq Depth <  5 cm 0.0%
Avg Interval (days) 30 Inflow P Load (mg/m2-yr) 66503 Load Reduction 0%
Parameter Set:   none Outflow FWM  Conc (ppb) 147.5 Time Freq Conc > 10 ppb 99%
K  (m/yr) 0.84 Sm (mg/m2)  0 Outflow C with Bypass 147.5 Vol Freq Conc > 10 ppb 100%
C1 (ppb) 22.0 Sp (mg/m2) 0 95th Percentile (ppb) 292.7 Storage Turnover (1/yr) 0.6
C0  (ppb) 4.0 Qout Intercept 6.0 Outflow Geo. Mean (ppb) 123.1 Mean Stored P (mg/m2) 7263
Zx  (cm) 60 Qout Exponent 1.0 Outflow GM,  Q>0 (ppb) 122.9 Storage Inc/Net Removal 63%
Wtr Bal Error 0.0% Knet-Plug Flow (m/yr) 1.6 Outfl. Seepage (cm/d/cm) 0
Mass B Error -0.1% Knet-NCSTR (m/yr) 1.6 Seepage Loss 0%
Calibration  Statistics for Period: 03/01/96 thru 09/30/99
Inflow P Conc (ppb)  = 160 Mean Mean
HLR (cm/d) = 113.8 Count Observed Predicted Residual Resid% RSE% R2
Mean Depth (cm) 44 142.8 115.2 27.6 24% 25% 23%
Flow (cm/day) 0 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Flow-Wtd-Mean Conc (ppb) 44 139.6 158.5 -18.9 -12%
Geometric Mean Conc (ppb) 44 152.3 173.5 -21.2 -12% 30% 60%
Mean Conc (ppb) 44 172.9 189.3 -16.4 -9% 26% 75%
Outflow Load (mg/m2-d) 0 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Pred Q x Conc (mg/m2-d) 44 158.84 180.30 -21.45 -12% 42% 80%
 
 
Obs Load2 = Predicted Flow x Obs Conc
Green lines on x axis of concentration plots indicate model calibration period.
10/29/03